Food Search Word Wars: Battle of the Baked

 

Photo by Daria Shevtsova from Pexels

Why Even Write This?

Back in the 90’s many of you would have observed the rise of the rotisserie chicken stall? Depending on where you live, within 10 minutes’ drive from where you are is an Andok’s, Baliwag or some other chicken roaster. What about milk tea? Zagu ring a bell? It’s probably the ancestor of the milk tea craze in the PH? The point here is that, historically, some food reaches peak levels of popularity and then adoption as part of the accepted staples.

I’ve always been fascinated with food and how food culture evolves as a function of time and the environment. The internet allows the proliferation of these to spread at exponential speeds. I want to make a series of posts looking into popular food here in the Philippines while trying to apply some science in understanding how popular they are.

The Contest

Facts out. I’m not a data scientist nor am I a rockstar online advertising expert. I’m just a food nerd and I want to know how popular some of the food trends I see online are in the country. The metric I’ll be using for simplicity are the metrics found in Google Trends.  In particular, I would look at the data from January 1, 2020 to August 17, 2020 to compare the interest over time and the interest per region to gain an appreciation of the food items I chose to research.

The Contenders

As the old adage goes, “A picture speaks a thousand words”. These products need little introduction but we still want our food porn so we scoured online for what we think are the most craving-inducing candidates we can find. We leave the pretty pictures of the product contenders to introduce themselves.

Note: We do not own any of the photos provided here. We posted these as homage to the product category they belong to and as a compliment to those who made these exquisite products. They do their category proud and they are credited in the captions below the photos. We do not receive anything from the makers of these products. We just think they make great examples of what the product could be.

Ube Cheese Pandesal


“Busog na busog’! The Ube Cheese Pandesal offered by panaderya.ph is bursting with its thick filling of ube halaya and generous slices of cheese.

Sushi Bake


This beauty came from the Instagram page of The Sushi Bake (@thesushibake).  As I stared into the glorious layers of baked goodness, I had to remind myself that I already ate.

Yema Cake


We heard praises for the Rodilla’s Yema Cake. We saw this wonderful dessert in all its glory through the awesome blog post here.  

How to read the data

Numbers are dangerous without context for they can lead to false conclusions. Before we proceed with presenting information, it might help to provide some pointers provided by the site itself. Google Trends provides explanations for the information it provides. We copied the descriptions of the statistics provided by the site in the paragraphs below: 

Interest over time

Numbers represent search interest relative to the highest point on the chart for the given region and time. A value of 100 is the peak popularity for the term. A value of 50 means that the term is half as popular. A score of 0 means there was not enough data for this term. 

Interest by subregion

See in which location your term was most popular during the specified time frame. Values are calculated  on a scale from 0 to 100, where 100 is the location with the most popularity as a fraction of total searches in that location, a value of 50 indicates a location which is half as popular. A value of 0 indicates a location where there was not enough data for this term. 

Note: A higher value means a higher proportion of all queries, not a higher absolute query count. So a tiny country where 80% of the queries are for "bananas" will get twice the score of a giant country where only 40% of the queries are for "bananas". 

Related topics

Users searching for your term also searched for these topics. You can view by the following metrics:

*Top- The most popular topics. Scoring is on a relative scale where a value of 100 is the most commonly searched topic and a value of 50 is a topic searched half as often as the most popular term, and so on. 

* Rising - Related topics with the biggest increase in search frequency since the last time period. Results marked "Breakout" had a tremendous increase, probably because these topics are new and had few (if any) prior searches.  

Related queries

Users searching for your term also searched for these queries. You can sort by the following metrics:

*Top- The most popular search queries. Scoring is on a relative scale where a value of 100 is the most commonly searched topic and a value of 50 is a topic searched half as often as the most popular term, and so on. 

* Rising - Related topics with the biggest increase in search frequency since the last time period. Results marked "Breakout" had a tremendous increase, probably because these topics are new and had few (if any) prior searches.  

Tale of the Tape

Let’s now see how the following baked goods match up to one another according to the data researched.

Interest Over Time

This is a screenshot of the graphs for the three products. We note the following:

  • Ube Cheese Pandesal peaked after March while Sushi Bake and Yema Cake peaked near June. 
  • All products showed a trend towards increasing interest from January until they reached their peaks. 
  • This is inconclusive but given the data available, it seems the products are tapering off from their highest levels. This can change however so we cannot conclude what will really happen in the future. 

Interest by Region

For Ube Cheese Pandesal

It’s interesting to see a geographic representation of how interested a region is to a certain food product, as seen for Ube Cheese Pandesal in the graph above. At the right are also the relevant search terms being used related to the product. Notice how the top related queries are based on consumption behavior: questions on price, questions on the nearest provider and questions on the caloric load.

For Sushi Bake

In terms of relative interest per region, it appears here that for sushi bake, it is more intense in areas near the south of NCR. At the right are also the relevant search terms being used related to the product. Notice how the top one and three related queries are based on producing the item: questions on recipes and questions on baking.

For Yema Cake

Of the three products, Yema Cake is the one with intense interest in northern Luzon. It’s also the only one among the three with interest generated in Palawan. At the right are also the relevant search terms being used related to the product. Notice how the top three related queries are based on producing the item, questions on baking procedures, ingredients and recipe.

Compared Breakdown by Subregion

For Ube Cheese Pandesal

Based on the data above, among all the performances per region, Ube Cheese Pandesal seems to have the most intense interest in Northern Mindanao. In Metro Manila, it comes in second relative to Sushi Bake. It has the least intensity of interest in MIMAROPA.

For Sushi Bake

Based on the data above, among all the performances per region, Sushi Bake appears to have the strongest interest in Metro Manila with Davao coming close. Similar to Ube Cheese Pandesal, it has the least intensity of interest in MIMAROPA.

For Yema Cake

Based on the data above, among all the performances per region, Yema Cake appears to have the strongest and even dominant interest in MIMAROPA. It’s the third in Metro Manila but it has strong interest in areas further away from Metro Manila like Western Visayas, Cagayan Valley and Region XII.

Conclusion

As I mull over the information, I realize how useful this tool can be for a food entrepreneur planning or currently providing the products to have a greater understanding of the Philippine market. There is no single food item that dominates all the regions.  For me however, my key takeaway here is that the original reason why I am fascinated by food culture still holds. Food culture evolves as a function of time and the environment. The internet allows the spread of these food cultures but each area reacts differently. 

Thank you for reaching this far! I hope it’s been helpful to you. Writing this increased my appreciation for the food itself and also increased my desire to continue looking into interesting topics related to food. If you think this information is helpful to people you know please do feel free to share! If you want us to do a similar dive into other food products or look into other topics then please do send us a message on our Facebook page. 

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